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Confirmation probability for IRCTC Waiting ticket ?

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Elite
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Hi everyone,

I booked a ticket on 14 July for the journey date : 11 November 2023 for celebrating Diwali (i.e- 12 Nov) from New Delhi to Patna in Rajdhani (12310)

While booking status was WL-181 and now it's WL-109. What are the chances that will get confirmed ? I have checked a few PNR probability websites/apps, and all giving huge differences of chances for confirmation. Still 55 Days is left.

IMG20230917165533 Confirm Ticket App - 55%

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IMG20230917165850Ixigo app - 97%

IMG20230917170030Tripozo- Green 80%

IMG20230917171145IRCTC- 34%


45 Comments  |  
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Generous Generous
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irctc is  correct ....30-35% chances of confirmation ...  long WL .. consider alternate options . 

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Confirmation is doubtful.

Check for any alternative options

Helpful Helpful
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nhi hoga bhai confirm 

aaj news me b aya h ,every train in north zone mainly from delhi to bihar /wb

almost every train is running in huge waiting and CNF chances is very very less

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Better purchase physical railway ticket. You can stand by even if it's not confimed
Helpful Helpful
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Your only chance is to stay updated for special trains which will be announced and try to book a seat in it.

Avant Garde Avant Garde
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Bro diwali ke time waiting tickets confirm hone ke chances bhut low hotey hai.

Helpful Helpful
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bhot muskil hai 

Helpful Helpful
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Nahi hoga confirm.

Kuch dusra jugaad karo jane ke liye.

Deal Subedar Deal Subedar
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don't worry, ho jaayega confirm

Elite Elite
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😞

Generous Generous
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GNWL10 now

Chart is about to prepare

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Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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Book Bus tickets, now a days many AC sleeper are running for bihar from Delhi 

Generous Generous
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Chances are very less, but you never know! Sometimes they do add extra coaches as well.

Check alternatives like one way cab in sharing OR wait for tatkal or another mode of transportation.

Generous Generous
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Share PNR

Elite Elite
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Do You have any connection with HO Quota? 😀

2364531117
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Pro Mobile Guru Pro Mobile Guru
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99% No chance for Confirmation 

Since it is prev day of Diwali, Very less people will cancel the WL tickets before you. There is no chance for cancellation of CNF and RAC tickets on this date. i doubt your PNR will not come to RAC also.

Deal Cadet Deal Cadet
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There are 11 AC3 coaches in this rajdhani. It may land in RAC to the max.Try tatkal then if possible.

Generous Generous
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go for tatkal or premium tatkal , railway are getting dwindler

Critic Critic
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Will this get confirmed during this Diwali rush? Screenshot20231023224809Confirmtkt
IRCTC shows 57% chances only.
Critic Critic
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Finance Mentor Finance Mentor
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In 1A what are chances of confirmation? 

Generous Generous
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RAC B5 39

Side Lower

Elite Elite
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Yes, sharing seat with a man. Sleeping together in 96 pose. expressionless
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Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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Pnr 4461009551

Status is WL 17 and 18 and travel date is 7 days from today.

What are the chances the ticket will be confirmed or RAC?

Deal Newbie Deal Newbie
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2219342157 today my journey

GNWL 16

Elite Elite
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100% probability
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